Interest-rate expectations

Markets respond not only to current interest rates but also to expectations about what the European Central Bank and US Federal Reserve may do next. Changes in the expected path of rates can alter the relative appeal of the euro and US dollar.

Economic data and surprises

Inflation, employment, growth and business-activity data can influence expectations. A release should be compared with the market forecast and previous reading rather than judged in isolation.

Risk sentiment and positioning

Geopolitical events, liquidity and broader risk sentiment can affect major currencies. Short-term price behaviour can therefore move even when there is no single euro or US data release driving the market.

How to research the pair

Use the economic calendar guide to identify scheduled releases, then review the FTB market dashboard and use the Forex AI Prompts to structure your research. A calendar is a planning tool, not a prediction engine.

Risk reminder

Trading forex, CFDs and crypto can involve substantial risk. This article is educational information, not personal financial advice or a guarantee of results.

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Explore related FTB resources

Forex AI PromptsStructure your EUR/USD research.Economic CalendarUnderstand event risk.Trading ToolsPlan position risk.